Besides the Seahawks at 5-1, only five other NFL teams have less than two losses: New England (6-0), San Francisco (5-0), New Orleans (5-1), Green Bay (5-1) and Buffalo (4-1). Though rewards are few in football for the claim of Misters October, it’s at least comforting for 12s knowing that a climb out of the well is not an agenda item on the team’s to-do list.
But in order to be taken seriously as a title contender, there is a need to be something other than near-helpless when in comes to disrupting the opposing quarterback. No surprise here, since management’s urgency was plain in the off-season that the pass rush was a priority, right up there with quality touchdown-celebration choreography.
The Seahawks spent free-agent coin in May to acquire DE Ziggy Ansah, then just before the regular season, traded for DE Jadeveon Clowney. The moves were made in part to compensate for the trade of DE Frank Clark and the six-game suspension of DT Jarran Reed, who in 2018 were Seattle’s top sackers (13.0 and 10.5, respectively).
The intent was widely lauded. The execution, less so.
While the sack numbers are a narrow part of overall production on defense, there’s no getting around the fact that opposing QBs are getting around the rush.
The Seahawks are 26th in sacks (10), 27th in pressures (38), 29th in pressure percentage (15.4%), 25th in QB knockdowns (10) and 29th in knockdown percentage (4.3%).
Sunday in the 32-28 win at Cleveland, QB Baker Mayfield was not sacked, nor even hit. Say what you will about his three interceptions, his uniform was free of grass stains.
We just weren’t able to get to him,” Carroll said at his Monday presser. “The ball came out lightning fast. Threw a ton of quick game and their RPO (run-pass option) stuff.
“They limited the amounts of times to rush. They did a nice job in that.”
True, but Seattle’s own mistakes made the game taut nearly throughout. So did the officials’ mistakes. In fact, an easy case can be made that the Browns would have won had officiating breaks been close to even. The Seahawks came away winners in that department.
Carroll took heart from the fact that Mayfield hit on just 23 of 37 passes, even though there were unforced errors and numerous drops.
“When you look at his passing efficiency for the day, we would’ve taken 50 something (a QBR of 54.9), if we knew that was going to happen regardless of how the rush was,” he said. “We were effective. In pass rush, just the numbers, it stands out a little bit that we didn’t get to him.”
Carroll has said several times that getting Ansah and Clowney up to speed and in sync would take time.
The case can be made that time is up Sunday.
The Baltimore Ravens (4-2) come to town with QB Lamar Jackson, who might be the single most potent offensive machine in the NFL. Hey, he out-rushed Seattle RB Chris Carson Sunday (152 yards to 124) and in the 23-17 win over the Bengals, completed 21 of 33 passes for 236 yards. The Ravens lead the NFL in total offense (450.7 yards per game), rushing yards (205) and are second in scoring (30.7 points).
“He’s doing everything you can think of,” Carroll said of Jackson. “They run every play. They’ve got every scheme. They’ve got every pass-action. He can throw the ball all over the field. He’s got quick-game accuracy, on-the-move stuff.
“It’s a remarkable offense that they’re putting together right now. It’s very challenging.”
Just in time, it would seem, for the return of Reed.
His six-game NFL suspension is up after a violation of the NFL’s domestic violence policy for an episode nearly three years ago, in which Bellevue police declined to file charges. Unsurprisingly, he is said to be eager.
“He’s like a little kid at Christmas time,” Carroll said of Reed’s return to team headquarters Monday. “He’s so excited to be back with us. It seemed like it went kind of fast to us, but it didn’t for him.
“I don’t know what to tell you about how it’s going to go. I haven’t seen him on the field yet. I know he worked really hard, from everything he said, to stay abreast with his conditioning.”
The D-line’s interior spots have been filled by tackles Poona Ford and Al Woods, both of whom seem likely to start Sunday with Reed in the rotation. Ford has become a mainstay, so Woods down the road likely will see fewer snaps.
If Reed can come close soon to replicating his breakout production in 2018, offenses are going to have problems sorting out who to double-team.
“He’s a big factor,” Carroll said, repeating the phrase. “The (O-line) spacing that happens with a guy that causes problems there, opens up areas for the other guys. We’ve been rushing with Al. You’ve seen us with Poona too. Those guys are nose-tackles types and that’s not their strong point. They’re terrific run defenders.
“When we mix it up with Quinton Jefferson and J-Reed, it’s going to be a better look for us. It’s going to be more of a problem for our opponent.”
Since Carroll deferred on projecting a role for Reed Sunday, we’ll simply pass on the chat Jackson had post-game with Peter King of NBC Sports.
“We’re just going to do what the defense gives us,” Jackson said. “The game’s so fast. I’ve got a sharp mind. I really don’t care if I’m running or passing. Just win games.”
Asked what percent of the runs Sunday were designed runs, and what percent were off because of pressure, he said, “Ninety percent were designed. Ten percent I took off on my own.”
Guess who just became Sunday’s second-most important Seahawk?
Momentum. Belief. Finding ways to win close games. Home field advantage in the playoffs. MVP-level play at QB. Being on the positive side of turnovers and lopsided officiating. Pure blind luck. These are the ingredients to magical seasons.
Good of you to mention officiating and luck. Seahawks have had more than their share this season.
NFL Stats show Total Offence #4 San Francisco, #5 Seahawks, Not bad.
Total Defense #2 San Francisco, #20 Seahawks, Not good. That disparity is huge and not good for the Hawks.
I feel like this will be okay just as long as the D can help us trade TD’s for FG’s, and occasionally create big, demoralizing turnovers. I also feel like getting Reed back will morph the defense into what it is supposed to be. The offense needs to do their part by keeping the ball for long periods of time. Winning time of possession is almost as important as winning the turnover margin.
Dissly was reliable drive-sustainer with his seam-route grabs. That will hurt, but the O still carries the day.
TOP and 3rd down conversion rate has been good. 40% or more on conversions helps immensely.
That underscores the primary question going into the season: Can a mature offense carry a defense long enough for its kids to mature? So far so good. We’ll see Nov. 11 if it’s fast enough.
Art, This being Oregon week…..any thoughts on what has happened to Mariotta?
Injuries and a disappointing supporting cast. When he left college, I thought he might be in the Tui class of good college QB that doesn’t translate into the NFL.
Same as Jake Locker. The Titans are starting to go down the road the Bears are on with having bad luck on developing QB’s.